Climate change Impacts

According to the 2007 IPCC report, although Indonesia is likely to experience warming, the warming is likely to be smaller than that of the global annual mean warming. Annual rainfall is also likely to increase. Climate change models or  AOGCMs are not able to see small islands because of problems with resolution, so the projections are based upon ocean as apposed to land. With that in mind there is a level of uncertainty because the ocean- atmosphere interaction in the Indian ocean is not well understood. Monsoonal rains are expected to decrease with global warming. It will also make these monsoons less predictable because it will not be such a seasonal occurrence. ( http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/ch11s11-4-1.html)

Fresh water availability is projected to decrease due to increasing populations with a demand for higher living standards in addition to climate change. Therefore negatively impacting sustainable development. Despite all of this, they have a greater sea flooding risk. The risk of diarrhoeal diseases and will go up due to the lack of water and flooding of sea water. Crops will also decrease, due to the drought. (http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg2/en/spmsspm-c-8-asia.html)

Due to increased temperatures and extreme weather events, crop yield will decline. With that, climate induced diseases and heat stress are also more likely to occur. There is a great chance due to sea level rise that coastal ecosystems will experience significant loses. Due to sea water run off, fresh water fisheries will be negatively effected. Wet lands, mangroves and coral reefs are seriously threatened. Due to increasing population, it is likely that deforestation will continue, which threatens biodiversity of Indonesia which already deforests quite heavily. (http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg2/en/ch10s10-es.html)

Deforestation  in Indonesia
(http://www.greenpeace.org.uk/blog/forests/14-reasons-we-need-
save-indonesia-deforestation-20131023)

One of the most interesting things about the impact that global warming has on Indonesia is that it expresses that it is not only a problem for the animals and the earth itself, it directly effects humans. Due to a lack of fresh water, and water contamination diseases increase along and as a result there is an increase in 
endemic morbidity and mortality rates. Due to a lack of resources climate change will also greatly impact sustainable development, and when combined with a growing population that is moving toward larger cities this could be devastating. So many of the problem that are occuring are connected in some way, however humans generally do not see a direct connection to them. This look on it is eye opening as to how connected humans really are to the problems that climate change can cause.